Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 1.625235 1.875738 2.146347 2.459698 2.811815 3.194525 3.641197
2024-10-27 1.238878 1.585752 1.993775 2.505886 3.127897 3.855157 4.765751
2024-11-03 0.972351 1.365879 1.865037 2.536739 3.408000 4.490046 5.924234
2024-11-10 0.774399 1.184209 1.740564 2.536714 3.629782 5.058648 7.044748
2024-11-17 0.617645 1.022683 1.608225 2.494241 3.773923 5.523642 8.057869
2024-11-24 0.496953 0.887227 1.485604 2.438749 3.880007 5.931302 9.012037
2024-12-01 0.419300 0.802004 1.420836 2.452680 4.077040 6.470711 10.179168
2024-12-08 0.351126 0.718396 1.343614 2.432523 4.212851 6.922517 11.242446
2024-12-15 0.310073 0.673959 1.322386 2.495700 4.478001 7.579863 12.646934
2024-12-22 0.267410 0.618011 1.272115 2.501422 4.646256 8.094088 13.860143
2024-12-29 0.245748 0.598961 1.284424 2.614768 4.999491 8.919928 15.604944
2025-01-05 0.223370 0.574071 1.281697 2.698955 5.306943 9.687991 17.298481
2025-01-12 0.190834 0.522169 1.221907 2.675336 5.431445 10.176369 18.593749
2025-01-19 0.170349 0.493699 1.205439 2.732921 5.707850 10.941583 20.398409
2025-01-26 0.150743 0.463174 1.180150 2.769790 5.948454 11.660467 22.167978
2025-02-02 0.131219 0.428392 1.140182 2.771397 6.120886 12.268779 23.781108
2025-02-09 0.111514 0.388277 1.081672 2.726272 6.196706 12.705968 25.117178
2025-02-16 0.094022 0.349746 1.020345 2.666661 6.236269 13.076038 26.350530
2025-02-23 0.082935 0.327253 0.994277 2.681855 6.427879 13.738625 28.143726
2025-03-02 0.071673 0.301090 0.954492 2.660145 6.539054 14.252758 29.688239
2025-03-09 0.065592 0.290333 0.953191 2.728419 6.845729 15.158751 32.001171
2025-03-16 0.057882 0.271751 0.927630 2.734614 7.017012 15.807782 33.859918
2025-03-23 0.054910 0.269669 0.948005 2.857011 7.454602 17.009114 36.826149